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Boom.
The end of days. How will it happen, when
everything we know dissolves at last into chaos and
death?
The possibilities, while not endless, are certainly
robust. Nuclear annihilation is still near the top
of the list. Plague is an oldie, but a goodie,
especially as our population is expected to top 9
billion planet wide by the middle of this century (it
was less than 800 million in the year Johann Sebastian
Bach died of a stroke, leaving The Art of the Fugue
forever unfinished).
I personally find the possibility of a "rapture" like
event, including the return of God (any god for that
matter) the most unlikely doomsday event of all. I
happen to have a long and abiding interest in matters
religious, and the end times as a physical interference
in the cosmological order -- well, neither you nor the
next quaquicentennial generation is going to live to see
that one.
More likely possibilities include asteroid collision,
runaway nano-technology, and a man-made black hole
coming loose from the Large Hadron Collider at CERN in
Switzerland. Regardless of global warming an ice
age may yet bury us beneath miles of snow, and we could
always end up just poisoning ourselves, either to death
or to sterility.
But of one fate I'm reasonably certain.
Sometime toward the end of the next 5 billion years, the
sun will run out of abundant hydrogen for fuel and begin
to expand into a red giant. Earth, which in
comparison is little more than a wet grain of sand, will
be absorbed into the unfolding of this colorful nebula,
regardless of any native protests or prayers. On
that day, neither the sun nor the vast Milky Way beyond
will give reprieve for the absolute and final extinction
of all earthly life.
When the surface of the sun does come this way, will
anything resembling Man still be around? I think
not. But just like doomsday itself, the
possibilities are many. No species lives for 5
billion years. One consideration is that we are in
the process of designing our own successors, and have been
since early man learned to smelt ore. Don't be
fooled by what robots and computers are capable of
today, any more than by scoffing at the first copper
sword you might have forestalled the eventual development of the
thermonuclear bomb.
Intelligent, rational, even emotional machines will
come. Whether it is tomorrow or five thousand
years from now, the long march toward that eventuality
is a matter of time, not physics. Our brains do
it, and they exist in the real world. The rest is
just problem solving. And so Man will diminish and
pass on into the west, and what our in-organic progeny
will think of us is a story yet to be written.
As a side show of history, we may yet spread across the solar system, and perhaps
even to the stars. That will stretch the ability of any one
catastrophe to get us all. But even then, after a
hundred thousand years, will the ore miners of Mercury
and the cloud minders of Jupiter think of themselves as
one and the same? Will they be children of the
same God, or will their thoughts and perceptions so
separate them that even fox and rabbit think more kindly of
themselves as kin?
Time is on our side
One way or
another, the world will end, and humanity too.
It's a question of time and circumstance, but the
outcome is inevitable if not close at hand.
World's have lifetimes, and so do species. In the
natural course of things, even stars are born, age, and
die.
If we are ill-equipped to understand any aspect of that
truth, it is the nature of time. The age of Man,
be it a million or a billion years in duration, is
nevertheless but a single tick on a clock that knows no
end. Nuclear war may come, but not today.
The asteroids will surely come, but not tomorrow, or
even the day after. Our progeny will scrape by and survive,
rise and fall a hundred times. Only to do it over again
as if they were the first.
Mesopotamia and ancient Egypt, Imperial China and Rome,
the Aegean and Phoenician civilizations: we and our
remote descendants are one with
them in this singular moment of time. It's all
been an afternoon, no more. The sun's been fair,
the weather clear, and our problems mainly of our own making.
From the biggest volcano to the Biblical flood, we
haven't seen anything yet. Not doomsday. Not even
close.
And it's not likely that we will.
The Doomsday
Clock of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is at 5
minutes to midnight as I write this, but my own
(sometimes arrogant) optimism tells me that Man is
closer to the beginning than to the end of his days.
The first fair day of history will be followed by
another, and yet another before the weather begins to
turn. And 20,000 years from now, who knows where
we will be?
If I could see that day, so short a time and yet so far, I'm sure there would be
this: an immortal sitting somewhere, waiting for
doomsday, and doomsday not yet ready to come.
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